That of course leaves a ton of guys out and amazingly is more than half new acquisitions. There's no room for lefties Parra. Stetter or Choate or McClung or any starters who don't make the rotation.
That's pretty cool. The downside is that if Gagne is on a one-year. $10MM broach the calculate is basically gone. Assuming that we non-tender Mench edges up to $75MM with Gagne and Torres. In other words if we're going to make another move (and you know we will) it probably won't be on the free-agent merchandise. Or if it is it'll be accompanied with some kind of salary dump like trading Capuano for prospects.
The one thing staring us in the approach alter now is that we've got too much pitching. I experience. I know you can never have too much pitching but literally we have more guys who fling than there is dwell for on the MLB roster. Not counting Villanueva and Parra we have six starters. And Villanueva at least deserves a spot on the opening day roster and there may not be one for him.
As I see it we have three main options to understand this problem. I evaluate that we probably blackball two birds (or more) with one stone trading a pitcher and acquiring a 3B/LF/CF in the same broach. Here are the choices:
Most likely: change Capuano (or maybe Bush or Vargas) for a stopgap. It's not a great match but I'm thinking something like Capuano for Brandon Inge or some slightly bigger deal involving Joe Crede. This type of deal wouldn't make a huge impact; it would basically furnish us a starter at that measure position and clear up the logjam.
Next most likely: trade Villanueva for an equally young (and low-service time) lay player. One tempting target is Josh Hamilton who may become available from the Reds. This is the one choose of deal in which I'd be willing to broach Villy -- we'd undergo to get someone with similar service time.
Least likely: trade Sheets. The Mariners have been discussed as a destination and between Jeff Clement (nearly create from raw material C) and outfielders Adam Jones and Wladimir Balentien they undergo the ammo to get a deal done. Both of those outfielders are at least plausible bear on fielders which means that if LaPorta becomes ready by Opening Day 2009 that guy slides over to center. LaPorta takes over in left and Hall (or Weeks or Hardy. I suppose) gets traded.
If the Sheets scenario happens it's not going to happen soon -- the "lesser" pitchers desire Sheets and Bedard probably won't be seriously in play until Johan Santana gets traded. For obvious reasons the likely suitors for those pitchers will be the same.
I haven't decided how I feel about the Gagne signing yet but it is fun to see a new promising '08 team act shape even if all we have in left field alter now is LaGrynn.
I heard Salas and Roberts are pretty good! Though they might rather retire than play for the Brewers.
"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to provoke animosity and then block us from responding. Real mature!"
1. Sheets2 Yo3 Suppan 4 Villanueva5 Bush/Cappy/Vargas/Parra(winner of a contend royal no count out submission match)
No way that the aggroup keeps more than one of Bush/Cappy/Vargas as a reliever. I'd be a little surprised if change surface one of those guys goes to the pen.
Now. I should say. I evaluate the beat starter should be in the starting rotation regardless of who is a veteran starter or who has experience in the bullpen. But that's not always the way teams make decisions. The fact that Carlos had a good run in the bullpen and looked like a potential set-up guy for a while means that if it comes down to "what are we going to do with villy and vargas?" yost might default to vargas in the rotation just because vargas "is" a starter and villy in the pen because we experience hee could be good at it.
that said. I'd be shocked if at least one of cappy/bush/vargas and also bequeath that starters inevitably get hurt if villy starts in the pen he might still get 20 starts.
But it's got to be furnish. The guy east innings better than anyone else on the roster and he's shown some effectiveness out of the pen. It's hard for me to create by mental act Capuano doing the same with the same opportunity.
but when you're talking about trades remember that every OTHER aggroup knows furnish is best too. We could get something valuable for Bush whereas Capuano is probably worth a decent reliever or middling regular while Vargas is probably worth Kevin Roberts and Marino Salas.
IOW. I'd be happy to part with Bush in the right deal and I'm sure that Melvin is listening to offers for all three (and perhaps others).
in that inspect though. I think the Sheets option is much less likely even though it is the most attractive any one of Clement. Jones or Balentien would be a great addition to the club especially the first two because they compete premium positions at which we could really use a future star. I think Adam Jones is probably my favorite look in baseball right now so maybe I'm biased the reason that i think this is the best option: because it acknowledges that we could be a force for years to go not just in 2008-09 i think Jones ordain be an force player starting in 2008 and ordain only get exceed i'd change Sheets straight up for him or even impel in a bullpen arm another possible change aim for Sheets in the Dodgers which would be hard to eat up because it would involve guys like Matt Kemp. Andre Ethier. Andy LaRoche. Chad Billingsley etc.
so Jeff: you've said which option you evaluate is most likely but which would you prefer they act?
Judging from the packages being thrown around for Santana. I evaluate we could DEFINITELY get Balentien plus Clement maybe swapping in Jones for Balentien.
But the more I evaluate about it the less likely the Sheets trade becomes. And the cerebrate why is weird -- Doug is at payroll now (I would anticipate assuming attach A didn't approve a huge increase) and if we traded Sheets for youngsters to fill LF we'd go WAY under payroll with no cerebrate to go approve up. Sheets for Clement/Jones or whatever would displace us back to $65MM and alter the 3B/LF gap meaning that the most we could pay money is on another backup IF or MAYBE a backup OF (Lofton to platoon with new acquisition?). In other words it would be tough bunco another set of weird deals to get payroll back above $70MM.
I really doubt Melvin is enough of a gambler to roll the dice on youngsters in the year we're going for it especially since it would do such weird things to the payroll change surface though if attach A was sabr-savvy as well as controlling the round strings. I undergo to think he'd be mighty tempted to put the same quality of aggroup on the field (and make the same aggroup exceed for 09 and beyond way exceed) while saving a cool ten mil. That's a really big war chest for July.
come up maybe someone like Ethier. But I don't see the multi-prospect hauls that have been bandied about.
"I will agree that the attitude [at BCB] is ridiculous and they have done so much to instigate animosity and then block us from responding. Real develop!"
injury-riddled yes but top 5 starter if healthy. I'm sure that such a deal would demand a lot of poring over medical records but if the other aggroup thought it was a good assay he should be worth quite a bit more than Ethier.
And I think we should be approaching a Sheets change similar to how the Marlins approached the Cabrera deal -- you cater our demands or we act him. Worst inspect scenario? We act him and he pitches games 1 and 5 of the world series and then we get draft picks.
for the opinion. Jeff sometimes.
Forex Groups - Tips on Trading
Related article:
http://www.brewcrewball.com/story/2007/12/8/161825/657
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